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Tracker Pushes Fossil Exit as Warming Outlook Stalls at 2.7C

COP 31 Press Conferences • United NationsNovember 12, 2026

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Government climate action has flatlined for a fifth straight year, Climate Action Tracker presenters said at a COP31 press conference on Nov. 12, 2026, projecting 2.7C of warming under current policies. Their prescription: a fossil fuel transition roadmap and a clean electrification target, with sharp words for Turkey and Australia, whose records they called contradictory, and criticism that reaches the summit's host presidency.

  • Fossil fuel transition roadmap and clean electrification goal pressed as top COP31 asks
  • Turkey and Australia criticized for resisting "clean" in the clean electrification goal
  • 2.7C warming under current policies, essentially unchanged for the fifth consecutive year
  • About 30% chance of exceeding 3C, presenters said, urging that the warming rate be halved
  • Rollbacks in the US, Canada, New Zealand and EU weighed against gains in China, India and Morocco

Why it matters: The fossil transition roadmap and the electrification target are live COP31 negotiating issues. The presenters criticized the host presidency, which raises the stakes for the summit's credibility.

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