Vulnerable Nations Press COP31 to Act as 1.5C Overshoot Nears
COP 31 Presidency Events • United NationsNovember 13, 2026
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Pacific islands, least developed countries and Indonesia used a COP31 presidency science event on Nov. 13, 2026, to argue that breaching 1.5C is now a matter of lost homes, fish and lives. Tuvalu's climate minister asked negotiators to extend the stalled Mitigation Work Programme to 2031, and IPCC Chair Jim Skea warned that current policies point to 2.8C. No decisions were taken, but the session previewed the pressure vulnerable countries will put on the presidencies of Türkiye and Australia.
- Tuvalu demands the Mitigation Work Programme continue to 2031 and warns it could become "another talkfest."
- IPCC Chair says 1.5C will soon be exceeded. Current policies imply 2.8C of warming.
- Lowest-overshoot path requires a 45% emissions cut by 2035. Current national pledges deliver 11% to 15%.
- Chad presses for AR7 to inform the next Global Stocktake after IPCC members failed to agree on a timeline.
- UNEP cites 85 investors managing more than $10 trillion using climate scenarios to shift their portfolios.
The event's first panel ran nearly half an hour. Ministers and advisers from Tuvalu, Indonesia, the least developed countries and the Pacific science community translated overshoot into lived impacts and negotiating demands.
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